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Cancellations _ is this a record

Discussion in 'What's Going On' started by 46236, Sep 30, 2010.

  1. 46236

    46236 Well-Known Member

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    Including tomorrow (Friday) 6 out of the 9 proposed runs have been cancelled, is this a record and what is the root cause?
     
  2. dp266

    dp266 Member Account Suspended

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    I thought the same. Some are due to the high numbers of locos out of commission or they have been unable to guarantee a run. Quite an issue this season. The Mersey Tornado was caped due to low numbers, partly due to short notice on the marketing side and other tours setting off from the NW that day being well booked.
     
  3. ADB968008

    ADB968008 Guest

    I think this year must be a record for locomotive failures and locomotive "issuettes".
    Also what doesnt help is the time to recover... it seems there's a shortage of skills, funding or people to bring them back again... which exacerbates it.
    Maybe thats a sign of the recession.
     
  4. RalphW

    RalphW Nat Pres stalwart Staff Member Administrator Friend

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    But is it a matter of reliability, some have it and others don't?
     
  5. ADB968008

    ADB968008 Guest

    In previous years it was apparent some locomotives had more issues than others, but this year how many mainline locomotives havent either failed to make all it's booked work, or been removed from a train during the year due to a mechanical issue ? (only ones I can think of is 48151 (new overhauled in 2010), possibly 30777 ? 5043 ?) any others ?
     
  6. Sidmouth

    Sidmouth Resident of Nat Pres Staff Member Moderator

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    Look at the volume of tours through the year , plus the loco's are operated by volunteer support crews whose time is limited . Maybe it's a case of run on a tour OR perform maintenance (not that i'm in any way suggesting safety is compromised)

    This year we've also lost 60007,34067 and 70013 for a long period of time . 6201, 6233 and 6024 are coming to the end of their tickets and all of a sudden class 6+ motive power is in somewhat short supply

    I've said this before and apologies if i sound like i'm banging a drum but 6024 have said they have insufficient funds to fund the forthcoming overhaul . another main line engine after 7 years of running have 30k in the bank according to the last set of accounts . How can the owning group pay commercial rates to get an engine back into traffic on that ? or you do as much as you can yourselves and accept it may be 10 years before the loco returns and there maybe no main line to run on at that point ?

    The lottery tap is turned off at the moment . where is the money coming from ?
     
  7. Bean-counter

    Bean-counter Part of the furniture

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    Ironically, the very shortage of locos has helped those that have been available by them being able to pick up more work and hence income but I have maintained for over a decade that pure mainline running is not commercially viable to keep an engine in traffic long term. The problem the Class 7 and 8 locos have is that they are really too big for heritage line use, quite apart from the fact that some seem to consider they are above "lowering" themselves to undertake such activity regularly if at all.

    It may be possible to limit usage on the mainline to enable quick and cheap "7/10 year" (quotation marks so Steve doesn't have to explain there is no such thing again!) as Tysley have shown once but I believe the real issue is that many boilers are coming to the end of their lives and need very major rebuild that will make even a medium sized loco's overhaul cost £ 1/2 million. If done as extensively as possible, this should mean the next "10 year" costs half that sum but the problem at the moment for the larger, mainline locos is that the "extensive" cost is probably in excess of £800,000 and they simply don't have that sort of money.

    I don't see an easy solution as the price of tour tickets means that there is little room to increase these without pricing steam out of the market, so loco hire fees can only increase if some other costs reduce. Given the massive risk an Operator takes in running any train in terms of potential delay attribution, I think that this is unlikely but both Railtour Promotors and Operators increasing need a large number of tours to spread their costs over and hence the events of this year tend tyo suggest more mainline apporved locos each undertaking less work are required - but how can they be afforded?

    Steven
     
  8. simon

    simon Resident of Nat Pres

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    Don't we have this thread every year?

    Has anyone actually calculated the % cancellation by year by cause?
     
  9. dp266

    dp266 Member Account Suspended

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    Quick back of the fag packet calculation and excluding Jacobite, but I reckon may be more than 10% majority due to loco unavailabilty or no reason given. Lots of tours switched locos at last minute too so it could have been worse.
     
  10. RalphW

    RalphW Nat Pres stalwart Staff Member Administrator Friend

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    Why exclude the Jacobite? if you do that then perhaps exclude all the regular ones, Torbays, Scarborough Spas, Fellsman, etc etc...
     
  11. dp266

    dp266 Member Account Suspended

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    Because it runs every day. Not really a tour more a regular service operated by steam. Weekly runs are tours in my view.
     
  12. Bean-counter

    Bean-counter Part of the furniture

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    I would have thought that the ones to exclude were Jacobite, Scarborough Spa and Cambrian as they run more than 2 days per week.

    I don't think anything else actually runs more than 1 day per week except perhaps Bank Holiday weeks.

    You could even exclude all tours that were weekly or generally advertised as being operated from a pool of locos as opposed to one or more specified locos.

    Steven
     
  13. RalphW

    RalphW Nat Pres stalwart Staff Member Administrator Friend

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    But I still don't see why you want to exclude any, they are steam hauled runs, why should the fact that it runs more than one day a week influence the result, unless you deliberately want to skew it to show a higher failure rate.
     
  14. Spamcan81

    Spamcan81 Nat Pres stalwart

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    That's being rather selective.
     
  15. northernsteam

    northernsteam Member

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    Is this a case that with so many engines theoretically being available at the start of the year, they are to thinly spread, don't get used regularly, heat up then cool down in time to have to heat up again. Are parts actually starting to wear out?( it is bound to happen) Are the crews conversant with their steeds? Is the coal up to scratch, remembering that different parts of the country tended to have engines designed with their coal in mind.
    Poor reliability means punters become reluctant to pay up for trips which may not be steam.
     
  16. Bean-counter

    Bean-counter Part of the furniture

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    The point I was making was that excluding trips that did not have a specific loco advertised (as tends to be the case for the most regular operations removes those cases where the existance of a pool to operate the service meant that a train was able to run. I suspect there will be a number of instances where only the operators know if the train ran as planned, but for individual tours, it is much easier to identify when what was advertised was delivered.

    Steven
     
  17. jane

    jane Guest

    The king (6024) has also had a trouble free year ;on main line and we have two more run's on main line before this winter overhall;and as i write this report she is running at the westsomerset railway gala;

    all the best
    jane
     

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